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-Autumn is my favorite season. The horror genre is in the mainstream entertainment channels. The temperature is in the 60's. The pumpkin spice is in god damned everything, including my veins. The leaves are in color. The women are in yoga pants. And the wildlife - specifically the tastier speces - are allowed to be hunted.
+Autumn is my favorite season. The horror genre is in the mainstream entertainment channels. The temperature is in the 60's. The pumpkin spice is in god damned everything, including my veins. The leaves are in color. The women are in yoga pants. And the wildlife - specifically the tastier speces - are in season.
 be vewwy vewwy quiet. we'we hunting cwiptids.
 
 
 On rare occasion I do get a tiny amount of flak for the practice of hunting. generally when I'm spending any time socializing with anyone, food is involved. So i *could* return with something like, we just ate meat, so is there a moral issue with doing more of the work myself?
-But I've gone for a gentler approach with some self deprecating humor; i have never successfully harvested any animal, ever. Is it really hunting, or is it paying for a license to wake up before dawn to carry 20 lbs of crap on a glorified hike? Hopefully that's funny, because unfortunately it's true. I am not, strictly speaking, a hunter.
+But I've gone for a gentler approach with some self deprecating humor; i have never successfully harvested any animal, ever. Is it really hunting, or is it paying for a license to wake up before dawn to carry 20 lbs of crap on a glorified hike? I am not, strictly speaking, a hunter. Although capitalism is happy to say I've spent money on products and therefore have earned a sense of community.
 
 
-Sitting in a blind for hours is depressing. Partially due to sleep deprivation, sure. But i'm beginning to doubt that deer exist. I've seen them, in person, in the past. Right? was that even real? 
+Sitting in a blind for hours is depressing. Partially due to sleep deprivation, sure. I hate sitting in silence. But what's the difference doing that in a hunting blind, vs at home, out in public?
-I hate sitting in silence. But what's the difference doing that in a hunting blind, at home, out in public?
+There's nothing to do but think.
-there's nothing to do but think.
+I'm beginning to doubt that deer exist. I've seen them, in person, in the past. Right? I'm pretty sure that was real.
-
 The fact that I bought my first hunting license and have ensured I will never again see a deer is a statistical anomaly, right? how do the numbers add up?
 I think their definition of success is to estimate 1 permit to 1 deer. looks like they're estimating 30%. so the situation is pretty bleak.
 If you go out hunting, odds are... you're coming back empty handed.
 so I guess, keep the faith? the one deer walking down this one path will *tooootally* come by and intersect with the time you're there. 
-Keep waiting. 
+Keep waiting. Your patience will be rewarded. Your efforts will pay off. Have faith.
-Your patience will be rewarded. Your efforts will pay off. Have faith.
 
 Ok, for real. Deer exist, I know. I know because I have evidence. 
 Respectively; no, no, and not entirely but maybe a tiny bit? You can only *approach* 0 faith, like an asymptote. Acknowledging that gives you a heuristic to weigh the validity of evidence.
-People talking about something's existence is not evidence. but I can buy some laughably overpriced venison in the store, right now. Although, that could be false advertising. This would be the same place selling some corn syrup in some sake labelled mirin. Not just mirin, but they specifically label their aji mirin as "hon" mirin. They sell wasabi as well, which I'm sure is horseradish with green food coloring. the fact that someone would lie to everyone and argue it's ok because it makes money is... really... how the world works. caveat emptor, bitch.
+People talking about something's existence is not evidence. but I can buy some laughably overpriced venison in the store, right now. Although, that could be false advertising. This would be the same place selling some corn syrup in some sake labeled mirin. Not just mirin, but they specifically label their aji mirin as "hon" mirin. They sell wasabi as well, which I'm sure is horseradish with green food coloring. the fact that someone would lie to everyone and argue it's ok because it makes money is... really... how the world works. caveat emptor, bitch.
 All because one salesman proposes one thing via marketing material, and doesn't get interrogated.
 
 
@@ -30,8 +28,8 @@ Consider the most terrifying cryptid in my culture: the Hyperlitigator. Imagine
 For years, retailers said the reason they don't donate food is that they're afraid of getting sued. projects to solve food insecurity
 have mostly been campaigns in reducing food waste by assuring retailers that it'll be fine.
 Meanwhile various meal ingredient services have marketed themselves as solving hunger by reducing food waste. which is silly, if they have any effect it's to shift food waste into packaging waste.
-no one has ever sued for being saved from starvation. nevertheless the US passed the Bill Emerson Good Samaritan Act of 1996 to encourage donation - all it does is assure retailers they can't be sued. 
+no one has ever sued for being saved from starvation. nevertheless the US passed the Bill Emerson Good Samaritan Act of 1996 to encourage donation - all it does is reassure retailers they can't be held accountable. 
-Maybe it worked. I can't find anything about how much food is donated per year since then.
+Maybe it worked. I can't find anything about how much food is donated per year since the law was passed and the press releases were announced.
 
 
 have you noticed that essentially every product ever has the "california proposition 65 warning"? in 1986, California voters banded together to say hey maybe it would be nice if we could avoid being poisoned a bit.
@@ -66,7 +64,7 @@ you remember when cracker barrel had a redesign? It's current at time of writing
 It kicked off a discussion on the left where they made fun of the right for the fact that the left wing doesn't know what "woke" means. 
 a company with a recognizable - if hokey - aesthetic has """streamlined""" to a hollow nothing that you couldn't pick out of a lineup from any of their so-called competitors. There is one culture, one aesthetic. and it is unobtrusive. noncommittal. bland. 
 as usual, the soul has been sacrificed on the altar of capitalism.
-this sounds much more like something I'd complain about than your stereotypical maga fascist. but then again, cracker barrel is a restaurant that has a very "country" aesthetic. if we remember the "brad's wife" fiasco, the customer base skews boomer. The kind of person who aren't worried about a deep fried steak with a side of pork sausage cutting their life expectancy - they only anticipate another few years anyway.
+this sounds much more like something I'd complain about than your stereotypical maga fascist. but then again, cracker barrel is a restaurant that has a very "country" aesthetic. if we remember the "brad's wife" fiasco, the customer base skews boomer. The kind of people who aren't worried about a deep fried steak with a side of pork sausage cutting their life expectancy - they only anticipate another few years anyway.
 I searched. Article after article, most maintaining a proper level of neutrality, but eventually - finally - paydirt. I found him. The ONE GUY who thought the redesign was soulless, and... **woke**.
 That's all. He's it. I have not found anyone else. As far as I know, his world also thinks he's weird.
 
@@ -80,6 +78,7 @@ so woolie switched back. I forget if he explicitly stated it at the time, but ob
 
 all because of one guy saying one thing one time. I wouldn't have thought that would be enough.
 
+
 What'd I say the odds of seeing a deer are? 30% per license? so the scenario is more specifically, if I am looking for 1 deer, and I come out here *up to* a certain number of times until I find one and stop. Sadly the data we have is estimated based on purchasing 1 license.. Let's pretend I'll automatically make a precisely average number of hikes per license.
 anyway, in 4 years I guess that'd be.. hang on let me grab a shell...
 ```python
@@ -92,7 +91,7 @@ anyway, in 4 years I guess that'd be.. hang on let me grab a shell...
 success chance is 30%, roll 4 times... failure chance for 1 run would be 1 minus success chance. so the chance of failing all 4 years would be failure chance to the power of 4. and so the chance of any other outcome, i.e. succeeding in 1 or more year, would be 1 minus that, which would be... just under 76%.
 You see how that works, warframe wiki?! 
 
-warframe, like any freemium game, has an element of gambling. The majority of what you spend real money on is guaranteed odds. Or, more cynically, you're paying them money in order to *not* play the game. Which is why when I saw the ludicrous resource cost for cryotic for sibear, I vowed to master every weapon in the game except that. I had that done, for a second there, until they added more weapons.
+warframe, like any freemium game, has an element of gambling. The majority of what you spend real money on is guaranteed odds. Or, more cynically, you're paying them money in order to *not* play the game. Which is why the ludicrous resource cost for cryotic for sibear ought to turn you off of that entire game.
 Anyway. While we're looking at the warframe wiki... In order to sell in china, they had to publicly disclose their drop rates. (what a cool thing for China to have done for its citizens. do you think they also disallow forced arbitration? oh, no, they're on the same page as us with that, damn.) So as a result of the public drop table, we get to see charts like this.
 to get Nekros, a.k.a. the best warframe 
 Look, in the game about shooting stuff to get loot to build gear to more effectively shoot stuff, etc... Nekros increases the loot you get. best.
@@ -100,7 +99,7 @@ Look, in the game about shooting stuff to get loot to build gear to more effecti
 there's a link:
 >  For more detailed definitions and information, visit here. 
 
-In that one, wiki contributer Finner explains what is meant by "nearly guaranteed". it's a range, so at the lower end of that range is 99% chance, at the top of that range it's 99.99%. easy. what i have been salty about for like a decade is that his definition of "expected" is *bizarre*. It's not helped by the fact that I think he's referencing old data. 
+In that one, wiki contributor Finner explains what is meant by "nearly guaranteed". it's a range, so at the lower end of that range is 99% chance, at the top of that range it's 99.99%. easy. what i have been salty about for like a decade is that his definition of "expected" is *bizarre*. It's not helped by the fact that I think he's referencing old data. 
 he divides the warframe drops into 3 "types". type 1 is like nekros, where all 3 parts are on 1 drop table. type 2 is where all 3 drop from a different place. (Type 3 is just equinox, with 8 drops needed. That one's a slog.)
 But if we look at his math for type 2, we can see what he actually means by expected. Assume the law of large numbers applies to small numbers. I.e., if you want to roll 1 of the 6 sides of a d6, you just throw it 6 times.
 check out this page.